IWV Releases New ObamaCare Poll

Click here to download the PDF document of the Polling Memo

Methodology: This national survey of 1,000 likely 2016 general election voters was conducted from May 19thto 22nd, 2015. All interviews were conducted online; survey invitations were distributed randomly within predetermined geographic units. These units were structured to correlate with actual voter turnout in a nationwide general election. This poll of 1,000 likely general election voters has an accuracy of +/- 3.1% at a 95% confidence interval.

Key Takeaways:

  • There is majority opposition to ObamaCare (52% to 44%).
  • The majority wants to either repeal (20%), replace (28%) or make major changes (22%) to ObamaCare.
  • There is broad opposition to the individual mandate (59% to 37%).
  • In a King vs. Burwell ruling for the plaintiffs, only 29% want to extend the law. 11% want to do nothing, 13% want major changes proposed, and 27% want transition assistance to prevent the loss of insurance while making sure that mandates and penalties no longer apply.
  • Among Republican voters 38%, the largest group, want Congress to provide a limited, targeted plan that provides temporary transition assistance in exchange for lifting mandates and penalties in non-exchange states. The next largest GOP voter group, at 19%, wants GOP Members to use the opportunity to propose major changes to the law. Only 15% want to simply allow the court decision to take effect.. This holds among undecideds and Conservatives, only the gap is even more stark. Much larger groups of these key voter groups would prefer to see GOP Members support temporary transitional assistance in exchange for dumping mandates and penalties than would like to see GOP Members do nothing.
  • By a 2:1 margin, 46% of voters favor using reconciliation to actually make changes to ACA, providing transition assistance, and setting up full repeal in 2017, while only 21% think conservatives should use reconciliation for a vote for full repeal that will be vetoed and leave Obamacare un
  • Voters want a strategy of actual outcomes, even if they are only limited, not just good intentions that leave Obamacare’s implementation untouched.
  • Currently only 1 in 5 voters support doing medical device tax repeal now and the majority would favor it as a part of a full repeal when everyone gets relief at the same time.
  • The majority (59%) are more likely to support a candidate who will make strategic changes to ObamaCare, like repealing the individual mandate, v. candidates who will only vote for full repeal (15%) or candidates who will not vote to change the law at all (16%).

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